The dollar SSA market has had a convincing return to life, following agreement on the US debt ceiling, with three issuers finding a good reception at all points on the curve. Any issuer wanting dollar funding will have to be quick about it, however. An FOMC meeting next week provides a natural bookend to what is a constructive window. “Everything’s gone very well, actually,” said a lead on Tuesday's Municipality Finance deal, “probably better than we expected, looking at the amount of supply that’s come today. We have had a really ugly calendar for much of the last couple of months and we’ve got an ugly calendar for the next three weeks. ... People are trying to fit into the good windows.” The Asian Development Bank’s equally split US$4bn dual-tranche offering was Tuesday’s main event. The supranational got a US$5bn-plus book for the two-year tranche and US$4.9bn-plus for the 10-year. Credit Agricole, Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley set the two-year’s spread at 23bp over SOFR mid-swaps, 1bp in from the 24bp area guidance. They set the 10-year at plus 49bp, again 1bp tight to guidance. The 10-year offered a 3bp to 4bp new issue concession, a second banker said, while the two-year left a premium of about 1.5bp. Pricing the 10-year was complicated by the lack of recent primary issuance at that tenor. The last dollar SSA 10-year was a month ago, IFR data shows, when Inter-American Development Bank printed a US$2.25bn bond at 53bp over SOFR mid-swaps. Much of the comparable paper at the 10-year point is trading tight because of that low supply, the second banker said. That IADB deal and ADB's own 10-year from January provided the primary comparables for the deal, he said. The two-year was problematic, too, the second banker said, thanks to rapidly shifting swap spread levels, which complicated pricing. "Front end swap spreads have been exceptionally volatile," he said. That problem is compounded by the fact that the syndicate had to price the deal versus swaps, while trying to appeal to buyers who are motivated by spreads versus Treasuries, the second banker added. MuniFin got a US$2.6bn-plus bid for its US$1bn no-grow December 2027 bond. Barclays, BMO, Daiwa and Nomura landed the deal at 45bp over SOFR mid-swaps, 2bp in from the 47bp area IPTs. Rentenbank got a US$1.8bn book for its US$1.25bn five-year. Citigroup, HSBC, RBC Capital Markets and TD Securities ran the German agency’s deal and set the spread at 35bp over SOFR mid-swaps, 1bp tight to the 36bp area IPTs. The German agency got the deal away despite pricing the trade "exceptionally tight", according to the second banker, who said the deal priced around where some supranational names are trading in the secondary market. "The US dollar market is not always appealing for euro-based borrowers from an economics point of view," said a Rentenbank official. "Through a favourable combination of [the] cross-currency basis and swap spreads, a project at the belly of the curve appeared attractive, in a market that has been overall undersupplied." The deal was not just an effort to maintain a presence with US investors. Dollars provided Rentenbank cheaper funding than what was on offer in the single currency, the official said: "Up to five years, we do see some significant relative value in US dollars compared to euros. The longer the maturity, the more this pricing advantage disappears." The trio’s success on Tuesday dispels the bad taste in dollars that NRW.Bank’s US$500m two-year left last Thursday. The deal did not produce a book update and did not tighten from IPTs of SOFR mid-swaps plus 25bp. Encouraged by Tuesday’s smooth executions, two Swedish names decided to tap the market. Swedish Export Credit Corporation has gone for a five-year appearance, which BMO, BNP Paribas, Citigroup and Scotiabank are marketing at IPTs of 55bp area over SOFR mid-swaps. Kommuninvest has decided on a US$
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