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IFR Review of the Year 2015



To purchase printed copies or a PDF of this report, please email leonie.welss@lseg.com and shahid.hamid@lseg.com


Structured Equity House: JP Morgan

Each one a gem

Market conditions were ripe for a big year in structured equity, but issuance disappointed. Yet JP Morgan managed a leadership position in every region and led trophy deals with skill and panache. It is IFR’s Structured Equity House of the Year


EMEA Structured Equity Issue: America Movil’s €3bn bond exchangeable into KPN

Calling it right

Carlos Slim had given up hope of controlling KPN, so what to do with the 24.8% stake held following America Movil’s failed bid for the Dutch telecoms firm in 2013?


Americas Structured Equity Issue: Anthem's US$1.25bn mandatory convertible bond

Rousing tune

A convertible bond deep in the money should be a cause for celebration, marking the success of management in outperforming and significantly increasing a company’s share price. Yet the enormous success can be a cause of concern when managing future finances.


Asia-Pacific Structured Equity Issue: Baosteel’s Rmb4bn bond exchangeable into New China Life

Steeling a march

It was six years between regulators allowing exchangeable bonds in China and the country’s biggest steelmaker Baosteel printing the first deal in December 2014. Yet the bond is certain to open the floodgates as the only tool that allows major shareholders to monetise their stakes in China.


Features

The pound, my part in its downfall and is it time to fight the central banks again?

Back in 1992, IFR’s Duncan Balsbaugh got a ringside seat from his position on Morgan Stanley’s London trading desk to watch George Soros’s attack on sterling. They say you can’t fight central banks, but as Soros showed, you can – and you should!

Exploring new frontiers

A plunge in commodity prices has left many energy exploration and production companies locked out of markets and struggling to refinance. Some are starting to get creative in an effort to ensure continued funding for their ongoing businesses.

Bubble-wrapping credit

Guidelines issued by the Fed, designed to limit leverage and reduce systemic risk, have made it harder for banks to compete in the leveraged lending business in the US. But while the leaders in the business have lost market share this year, lending remains healthy, with those borrowers looking for leverage able to find other options.

When gods become men

The central banks were once Olympian gods but have descended to be among men, and in doing so have lost many of their powers.

Fluctuating fortunes

Low interest rates and rising equity valuations, and an investor base desperate for paper, drove an increase in exchangeable bond issuance in 2015. Corporates hesitated to issue bonds convertible into their own stock but leapt at the chance to use large cross-holdings for cheap financing.

A modicum of success

The privatisation plan Narendra Modi touted when he came to power in India 18 months ago has failed to take off quite as the pro-business premier promised. Doubts over his reform agenda are mounting, but are they justified?

Big in Japan – and getting bigger elsewhere

If 2015’s banking narrative was supposed to centre on a defensive strategy re-think, replete with slashed assets and diminished headcount, no one told Japan’s ambitious commercial mega-banks.

Long march to sanity

The dramatic rout that followed the latest bull run in China’s equity markets was a case of history repeating itself. Regulators are still grappling to understand the root cause, but they must realise there is only one solution – and it’s surprisingly simple.

Finding value in disruption

Fast-growing companies seeking to build confidence in their business models and raise financing are increasingly turning towards private fundraising rounds. So far, the trend has been limited but it could become to IPOs what Uber is to public transport.

Securitising the crowd

Securitisation has come a long way since the dark days of the financial crisis, when politicians – and many regulators – laid the blame for much of the chaos squarely at its feet. With both groups now broadly understanding the role it can play in stimulating lending, securitisation is on the march again, with a new and novel type of loan being considered for use in the asset pool.

Year in Numbers

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